나 보다 vs 것 같다
Both express uncertainty, but they feel different in conversation.
Quick difference
나 보다: stronger "looks like / apparently" from observed clues것 같다: broad, flexible "I think / it seems"
Examples
-
비가 오나 봐요.
- "Looks like it's raining."
-
비가 올 것 같아요.
- "I think it's going to rain."
Rule of thumb
Use 나 보다 when you infer from visible or immediate evidence.
Use 것 같다 for general opinion, prediction, or softer judgment.